Correction: Dari is Persian. Pashto is Afghanistan's other official language. All Taliban are not Pashtuns. Plenty of them speak Dari.
Anyway, there will be some crazy hooplah in India perhaps till the end of the year over the $3B squandered and loss of proxy war opportunities against Fraternal Enemy Pakistan. In the end, Modi will create some tricky diversion, and cable anchors will find new ways to sing his praises.
Taliban may be able to run their country on credit as China and Russia are making overtures. Pakistan will be an important partner, and its economy may do better once NATO takes it off the shit list (for which there are good reasons).
Great question; good analysis. A small quibble - Dari and Pashto are very different languages. Apart from the script, they share little. Dari is close to Farsi and Tajiki. I found that the hard way when I was learning Dari and could follow conversations in rural Afghanistan but knew nothing in Pashto. I remember learning the phrase "I am an aid worker" in Pashto as a back-up. Luckily did not have to use it.
Twitter has banned me for a week except liking/Pakistan neither has the deep pockets, nor the depth in forces, to provide security in Afghanistan. Sure it is great in organizing and supplying a guerrilla force. But holding ground, protecting the population, and keeping the peace, is the exact opposite of its skill set, and peacekeeping is 10X times more expensive than fielding a guerrilla force to disrupt peace. Pakistan has no experience in such a colonial enterprise./ Parallel is Kurdish problem.your trading is getting honed by leaps and bound.two dates are interesting 1747,August 15th.?
Correction: Dari is Persian. Pashto is Afghanistan's other official language. All Taliban are not Pashtuns. Plenty of them speak Dari.
Anyway, there will be some crazy hooplah in India perhaps till the end of the year over the $3B squandered and loss of proxy war opportunities against Fraternal Enemy Pakistan. In the end, Modi will create some tricky diversion, and cable anchors will find new ways to sing his praises.
Taliban may be able to run their country on credit as China and Russia are making overtures. Pakistan will be an important partner, and its economy may do better once NATO takes it off the shit list (for which there are good reasons).
Great question; good analysis. A small quibble - Dari and Pashto are very different languages. Apart from the script, they share little. Dari is close to Farsi and Tajiki. I found that the hard way when I was learning Dari and could follow conversations in rural Afghanistan but knew nothing in Pashto. I remember learning the phrase "I am an aid worker" in Pashto as a back-up. Luckily did not have to use it.
Good analysis...
Twitter has banned me for a week except liking/Pakistan neither has the deep pockets, nor the depth in forces, to provide security in Afghanistan. Sure it is great in organizing and supplying a guerrilla force. But holding ground, protecting the population, and keeping the peace, is the exact opposite of its skill set, and peacekeeping is 10X times more expensive than fielding a guerrilla force to disrupt peace. Pakistan has no experience in such a colonial enterprise./ Parallel is Kurdish problem.your trading is getting honed by leaps and bound.two dates are interesting 1747,August 15th.?
A great analysis, the Afghans will succumb to monetary pressures... China will rule the roost.
There are too many dynamics at play.
If the desire to have economic stability overrides all the factionalism and fighting between the various tribes and races, the country will prosper.